2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION: 1st, 2nd, Final 3rd Anap Polls Award Obi Lead


 L-R: 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th places holders, respectively, in third and final poll commissioned by Anap Foundation and conducted by NOIPolls. 


Exactly 10 days to the February 25 Presidential Election, which kickstarts the 2023 General Elections, the flagbearer of the Labour Party (LP), Peter Obi, remained the lead contender to succeed Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari on May 29, 2023, according to the findings of polls by NOI Polls Limited (NOIPolls).

Obi has maintained a lead in a third and final nationwide opinion poll commissioned by Anap Foundation and conducted by NOIPolls.

The result of the latest poll was released on Wednesday by the President and Founder of Anap Foundation, Chief Atedo Peterside.

The third poll which was concluded in the first half of February 2023 followed two earlier polls carried in September and December 2022, respectively.

“For the avoidance of doubt, it is pertinent to mention that the methodology used by NOI polls is almost the exact same methodology that was used in previous presidential polls that they handled for us in 2011, 2015 and 2019,” Anap said in a statement.

The Foundation stated: “In all those past presidential polls, the front-runner that was identified by our polls ended up winning the elections, irrespective of a rather large percentage of voters who were undecided and/or refused to indicate who their preferred candidate was.

“We have also applied the exact same methodology in our various governorship polls carried out in 2011, 2014, 2015, 2019 and 2022 and the methodology generally held up well.”

Anap explained that its third and final poll result in February 2023 showed that the LP’s Obi the lead, trailed Bola Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC) Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).

Rabiu Kwankwaso, the flagbearer of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP), according to Anap, emerged as the “lone outsider”.

Poll Question: Suppose the presidential election is being conducted today, who are you likely to vote for?
Total (%) Distribution across Geo-Political Zones Poll Ranking
North    Central North East North West South East South South South West
Peter Obi (LP) 21% 24% 6% 8% 53% 38% 14% 1st
Bola Tinubu (APC) 13% 16% 16% 20% 1% 3% 15% 2nd
Atiku Abubakar (PDP) 10% 4% 17% 20% 3% 5% 3% 3rd
Rabiu Kwankwaso (NNPP) 3% 1% 4% 8% 0% 1% 0% 4th
Undecided 23% 20% 28% 26% 7% 19% 30%
Refused 30% 35% 29% 18% 36% 34% 38%
Total 100%
                                                                                                                                                Source: NOIPolls – February2023

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